Mid-major home dogs
Mid-major home dogs getting 5+ cover 52% historically. Limited data + sharp lookahead makes AI edge larger here.
/ PICKS / NCAAB
Regular Nov-Mar, Tournament Mar-Apr
NCAAB is the highest-volume sports market - many games means many soft lines, especially mid-majors and tournament play.
Mid-major home dogs getting 5+ cover 52% historically. Limited data + sharp lookahead makes AI edge larger here.
Kenpom-adjusted tempo vs Vegas totals - AI flags when the book is 3+ possessions off true pace projection.
Elite-program PG PRA props most mispriced. Usage-rate + pace + opposing defense combo model.
12-5 upsets hit 35% historically. AI flags which 12 seed has the tools.
FanDuel for spread speed, DraftKings for player props on elite programs, Circa for respected action.
Full sportsbook comparison →Free tier: 3 NCAAB picks a day with SHAP breakdown + Kelly stake sizing.
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